The melting of the Arctic Ocean has catapulted the Arctic region onto the international stage. With over 40% of the Ocean’s hard multi-year ice vanishing over the past decades, and the region warming at twice the global rate, access to its fisheries, mineral resources and new shipping lanes, no longer seems like a distant reality. Competition for the Arctic is now in full swing, putting the spotlight on its governance arrangements.
Eight Arctic littoral states make up the Arctic Council, a loose forum for dialogue amongst the main Arctic powers. The Arctic’s nearly 1.5 million indigenous people are given a voice within the Council, and countries such as China, India, Japan, Singapore, and South Korea have all been granted observer status. The United Nations Law of the Sea (UNCLOS) governs the Arctic Ocean.
Current global tensions have spilled over into the Arctic, with former US Secretary of State Mike Pompeo declaring in 2019 that while Arctic Council has had the luxury of focusing on scientific cooperation since its creation, it now has to turn to ‘strategic interests’ and a new ‘era of competition for Arctic resources’. This year, the work of the Arctic Council which was supposed to be chaired by Russia, was suspended by seven of the Arctic nations objecting to the Russian invasion of Ukraine.
This conference explored what the future might look like for the Arctic region, and whether it would be a zone of peace or zone of conflict. It looked at current governance arrangements to examine whether they remained fit for purpose, and how the growing militarization of the Arctic is pitting NATO against non-NATO states.