The rise of China will affect global politics, but precisely how is unclear. We explore China's capacity to become hegemonic, in the neo-Gramscian sense. In other words, will a Pax Sinica succeed a Pax Britannica and Americana, or not? Our answer to this question is based on an analysis of the distribution of identity in the world.
In particular we ask, how much elites and masses understand their own national identities in ways that are in/compatible with Western neoliberal democratic hegemony. Our answer is that while there is only mixed support for neoliberalism in the world, especially among masses, there is wide and broad support for democracy. This poses an obstacle to any Pax Sinica.
- Ted Hopf, Professor of Political Science at the National University of Singapore (NUS)
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